Qu\u00e9 viene para este a\u00f1o y hasta el 2022?<\/strong><\/p>\nBrasil es la 8 econom\u00eda del mundo y la 109 en el ranking para hacer negocios, por lo tanto, se desea crear un clima favorable y terminar entre los primeros 50 del ranking mundial antes del fin del gobierno actual<\/p>\n
Hoy Brasil apuesta a una fuerte recuperaci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica post covid19 basada en disminuir gastos, reformar el sistema de pensiones, disminuci\u00f3n de tasas de inter\u00e9s y veto de aumento de sueldos a los empleados p\u00fablicos, como una medida temporal ante la gran cantidad de empleos perdidos, quiebras y disminuci\u00f3n de los ingresos de las personas afectadas por la cuarentena.<\/p>\n
La confianza del Gobierno es la de levantar el pa\u00eds sin aumentar la inversi\u00f3n con gasto p\u00fablico.<\/p>\n
El ministro de econom\u00eda, Pablo Guedes, inform\u00f3 hace unas semanas que no habr\u00e1 aumento de impuestos y que mejorar\u00e1n los sistemas de recaudaci\u00f3n para hacerlos m\u00e1s eficientes y conf\u00edan en el apoyo y eficiencia de los congresistas.<\/p>\n
Nota: Al cierre de esta publicaci\u00f3n, se informa que el gobierno subir\u00e1 los Impuestos a los cigarros y alcoholes y colocar\u00e1 un impuesto por todas las compras con tarjeta de cr\u00e9dito por un 0,2%.<\/p>\n
Dado que Brasil no se estaba integrado a la cadena productiva mundial y de exportaciones el shock recesivo por el Covid19 no les afect\u00f3 mayormente.<\/p>\n
Este a\u00f1o las exportaciones de Brasil a mercados como el de China y USA se incrementaron y de cada d\u00f3lar exportado a USA, actualmente, 3 se exportan a China.<\/p>\n
Brasil es el \u00fanico pa\u00eds del G20 que est\u00e1 aumentando sus exportaciones<\/p>\n
El apetito por prote\u00edna animal y productos mineros sustentan las exportaciones de Brasil.<\/p>\n
Se est\u00e1n haciendo inversiones fuertes en ampliar los beneficios y redes de apoyo sociales ya que el COVID 19 sorprendi\u00f3 con cifras desconocidas de casi 35 millones de brasileros que estaban en malas condiciones sociales.<\/p>\n
Las medidas fiscales de emergencia actuales son puntuales y terminan el 31 de diciembre y para el 2021 se redireccionar\u00e1n los recursos extras de este a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n
El foco principal del actual gobierno es aumentar fuertemente el nivel de educaci\u00f3n de los m\u00e1s j\u00f3venes para despegar y salir del subdesarrollo. Esto significa redistribuir casi 40 a\u00f1os de enorme gasto y despilfarro de gasto p\u00fablico e inflaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n
La reforma tributaria se ingresa al congreso durante los pr\u00f3ximos meses junto con privatizaciones de empresas, en especial las m\u00e1s deficitarias y necesitadas de inversi\u00f3n, las cuales sus nombres se mantienen en reserva.<\/p>\n
Entre los pr\u00f3ximos 60 a 90 d\u00edas deber\u00eda haber oportunidades para inversionistas internacionales en rubros tales como cabotaje, sector el\u00e9ctrico, gas natural para tener energ\u00eda barata, infraestructura, petr\u00f3leo, transportes y contar tambi\u00e9n, con nuevos marcos reguladores.<\/p>\n
Brasil ya tiene 30 a\u00f1os de aumentos de impuestos siendo los grav\u00e1menes a las empresas de un 34% versus de 21% en USA. \u00a0Hoy Brasil tiene impuestos m\u00e1s altos que naciones desarrolladas, sin embargo, las pensiones, la salud y los salarios son del tercer mundo y de mala calidad.<\/p>\n
Los gastos fiscales son excesivos y el objetivo es simplificar los impuestos, con una re-Ingenier\u00eda tributaria y utilizar esos fondos para servicios p\u00fablicos de mejor calidad. Se espera implementar a la brevedad, mercados eficientes e integrados, con un r\u00e9gimen fiscal s\u00f3lido, sistemas de pensiones modernos y un banco central independiente.<\/p>\n
Juan Ignacio Valenzuela.<\/p>\n
Consultor empresarial y analista internacional.<\/p>\n
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