{"id":12740,"date":"2020-08-02T12:07:27","date_gmt":"2020-08-02T12:07:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/noti-america.com\/site\/venezuela\/2020\/08\/02\/brasil-encontro-la-salida-primera-parte-por-juan-ignacio-valenzuela\/"},"modified":"2020-08-02T16:07:36","modified_gmt":"2020-08-02T16:07:36","slug":"brasil-encontro-la-salida-primera-parte-por-juan-ignacio-valenzuela","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/noti-america.com\/site\/venezuela\/2020\/08\/02\/brasil-encontro-la-salida-primera-parte-por-juan-ignacio-valenzuela\/","title":{"rendered":"Brasil, \u00bfEncontr\u00f3 la salida? (Primera Parte) Por: Juan Ignacio Valenzuela"},"content":{"rendered":"

NOTI-AMERICA.COM (BRASIL)<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Brasil, \u00bfEncontr\u00f3 la salida? (Primera Parte)<\/strong><\/h2>\n

\u00bfSab\u00edas que Brasil es tan grande que todos los pa\u00edses de Europa entran en \u00e9l?<\/p>\n

Brasil ocupa el 47\u00a0% de Sudam\u00e9rica y tiene 212 millones de habitantes, siendo hoy la 8\u00b0 mayor econom\u00eda del planeta.<\/p>\n

La econom\u00eda brasilera fue una de las econom\u00edas con las m\u00e1s altas tasas de crecimiento del mundo durante los primeros 75 a\u00f1os del siglo 20, con un promedio de un 7,36% anual.<\/p>\n

Brasil fue una econom\u00eda bastante libre con una muy baja intervenci\u00f3n estatal y con una gran din\u00e1mica de crecimiento y desarrollo, superada s\u00f3lo por Jap\u00f3n.<\/p>\n

Durante los gobiernos militares (1964 \u2013 1985) aumentaron las intervenciones estatales, lo opuesto a lo sucedido en Chile, implement\u00e1ndose leyes que hicieron crecer el brazo estatal sobre la econom\u00eda.<\/p>\n

Hubo controles de precios, intervenci\u00f3n creciente del estado, \u201ccarteles\u201d en el sistema bancario, muchos subsidios, alto proteccionismo y se comenz\u00f3 a perder el rumbo.<\/p>\n

Los gobiernos militares estatizaron empresas como Petrobras, Electrobras, Portobras, Siderbras y descuidaron la protecci\u00f3n de la salud y educaci\u00f3n de la poblaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n

Como resultado, en los 70\u00b4s la inflaci\u00f3n era de alrededor de 20% y en los 80\u00b4s subi\u00f3 hasta los 200% al a\u00f1o, empobreciendo como siempre a la poblaci\u00f3n m\u00e1s pobre, las mayores v\u00edctimas de la inflaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n

Capturado por esta trampa de bajo crecimiento, ya en la d\u00e9cada de los 80, Brasil crec\u00eda a un 2,5% anual mientras la inflaci\u00f3n aumentaba sin parar.<\/p>\n

Al final de los gobiernos militares (1985) los gastos del estado bordeaban el 20% PIB y el modelo estaba en decadencia con un bajo crecimiento econ\u00f3mico y una clase media insatisfecha.<\/p>\n

Despu\u00e9s de 1975, Brasil fue capturado por la trampa del bajo crecimiento. Hubo diversos planes fiscales y cambiarios, con congelamiento de precios y al no tener planificaciones racionales ni coherentes, fueron mal concebidos e ineficaces.<\/p>\n

Los planes m\u00e1s recordados; Brecia, Feijao com Arroz, Cruzado, Real y Collor, entre otros.<\/p>\n

Al inicio de gobierno civiles (1985 en adelante) los asesores econ\u00f3micos erraron en los diagn\u00f3sticos b\u00e1sicos, como que la inflaci\u00f3n exist\u00eda como algo inercial.<\/p>\n

Los gastos p\u00fablicos estaban desbocados sin darle importancia al equilibrio y ahora el gasto fiscal estaba desenfrenado, llegando al 40% del PIB. (USA tiene hoy el 23%).<\/p>\n

No hubo diagn\u00f3stico acertado de la econom\u00eda y se mantuvieron las ineficiencias hist\u00f3ricas, con un r\u00e9gimen fiscal desordenado y un banco central sin foco en reducir la inflaci\u00f3n. A modo de ejemplo, los salarios p\u00fablicos crecieron un 50% por sobre la inflaci\u00f3n los \u00faltimos 17 a\u00f1os, siendo insustentables ese nivel de gasto para el pa\u00eds.<\/p>\n

Brasil, a pesar de su tama\u00f1o y poblaci\u00f3n no tuvo una buena reputaci\u00f3n a nivel mundial, principalmente por su hostilidad al emprendimiento y altos impuestos que pueden ser de hasta 45% con una legislaci\u00f3n laboral obsoleta y complejo sistema tributario con hasta 6 impuestos diferentes para las empresas. Hubo momentos en que un empleado recib\u00eda 1500 reales de salario (USD 287) y el costo para la empresa era de 3000 reales (USD574) por los costos asociados.<\/p>\n

El actual sistema de pensiones con la f\u00f3rmula de reparto cuyas decisiones y administraci\u00f3n fueron m\u00e1s pol\u00edticas que sociales, est\u00e1 totalmente desfinanciado, representando m\u00e1s del 53% de los gastos primarios del gobierno central.<\/p>\n

El asistencialismo y paternalismo fue quebrando Brasil destruyendo las bases del desarrollo con una incapacidad de crecer y apoyar a las nuevas generaciones necesitadas de trabajos bien remunerados.<\/p>\n

Pr\u00f3ximamente parte II y final.<\/p>\n

Juan Ignacio Valenzuela.<\/p>\n

Consultor Empresarial y Analista internacional.<\/p>\n

Youtube : LATINMARKETS\u00a0 https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/channel\/UCiWWC4eIE2o5m2x-IxvlJfg<\/a>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Facebook : Latin News –\u00a0 Email: latinmarketsnews@gmail.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

NOTI-AMERICA.COM (BRASIL) Brasil, \u00bfEncontr\u00f3 la salida? (Primera Parte) \u00bfSab\u00edas que Brasil es tan grande que todos los pa\u00edses de Europa entran en \u00e9l? Brasil ocupa el 47\u00a0% de Sudam\u00e9rica y tiene 212 millones de...<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":12741,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":{"twitter_242054905_242054905":""},"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[157],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12740","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-noticias"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"yoast_head":"\nBrasil, \u00bfEncontr\u00f3 la salida? 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