{"id":1792,"date":"2020-11-08T20:03:56","date_gmt":"2020-11-08T20:03:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/noti-america.com\/site\/chile\/2020\/11\/08\/el-post-plebiscito-en-la-economia-chilena-crece-la-incertidumbre-por-juan-valenzuela\/"},"modified":"2020-11-09T00:04:02","modified_gmt":"2020-11-09T00:04:02","slug":"el-post-plebiscito-en-la-economia-chilena-crece-la-incertidumbre-por-juan-valenzuela","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/noti-america.com\/site\/chile\/2020\/11\/08\/el-post-plebiscito-en-la-economia-chilena-crece-la-incertidumbre-por-juan-valenzuela\/","title":{"rendered":"El post – plebiscito en la econom\u00eda chilena: crece la incertidumbre Por: Juan Valenzuela"},"content":{"rendered":"

NOTI-AMERICA.COM (CHILE)<\/p>\n

El post – plebiscito en la econom\u00eda chilena: crece la incertidumbre <\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Tras la votaci\u00f3n a favor del cambio constitucional, el mercado chileno sigue a la baja desde el negro 18 de octubre del 2019, donde la insurgencia vandaliz\u00f3 el pa\u00eds provocando m\u00e1s de 12 mil mdd en p\u00e9rdidas de infraestructura y centenares de iglesias cristinas quemadas. <\/strong><\/p>\n

La incertidumbre reina en el sector privado, las inversiones extranjeras han comenzado su retirada y el congreso continua con su labor de destrucci\u00f3n del modelo de jubilaci\u00f3n, aprobando inconstitucionalmente el desfinanciamiento del sistema jubilatorio, mientras el gobierno no ejerce su acci\u00f3n de veto.<\/p>\n

Sumado al retiro anterior, se estar\u00eda dejando a m\u00e1s de 4,5 millones de chilenos sin fondos para su jubilaci\u00f3n, un 40% del total de los cotizantes.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

El proyecto incluye, entre otras, el retiro de fondos de pensiones de personas ya jubiladas con el\u00a0\u00abSistema de Rentas Vitalicias con compa\u00f1\u00edas de seguro<\/em>\u00ab.\u00a0Estos fondos est\u00e1n invertidos en activos como cr\u00e9ditos hipotecarios, <\/em>y auguran fuertes litigios ante cortes internacionales<\/strong><\/p>\n

El plebiscito constitucional signific\u00f3\u00a0poner en jaque el sistema de libertad y resguardo de los derechos individuales en Chile que consagra la libertad de culto, la propiedad privada, la igualdad ante la ley y el derecho a la vida del no nacido.<\/p>\n

El presidente\u00a0Sebasti\u00e1n\u00a0Pi\u00f1era,<\/strong> con la p\u00e9rdida de sus propios adherentes,\u00a0se manifest\u00f3\u00a0abiertamente a favor del\u00a0<\/strong>\u00abApruebo\u00bb\u00a0y encaus\u00f3 desde la centroderecha hasta la extrema izquierda este resultado.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

En un intento por salvar su paso a la historia como el mandatario con uno de los m\u00e1s bajos niveles hist\u00f3ricos de aprobaci\u00f3n, se aline\u00f3 r\u00e1pidamente junto con el ala reformista de la pol\u00edtica chilena.<\/p>\n

Poco le sirvi\u00f3. Su aprobaci\u00f3n baj\u00f3 a 13%. Diez puntos menos desde el d\u00eda previo del plebiscito.<\/strong><\/p>\n

A una semana de la votaci\u00f3n, los indicadores econ\u00f3micos y financieros han expresado su opini\u00f3n sobre el futuro del pa\u00eds:\u00a0malo<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

D\u00edas atr\u00e1s, trascendi\u00f3 en todo el mundo un duro titular del Financial Times: \u00abChile, lecciones del \u00c1ngel Ca\u00eddo\u00bb<\/strong><\/p>\n

La ca\u00edda del \u00e1ngel ven\u00eda ocurriendo desde el gobierno de Bachelet donde la econom\u00eda se estanc\u00f3, par\u00f3 las inversiones, subi\u00f3 impuestos y aument\u00f3 el desempleo.<\/p>\n

Luego de d\u00e9cadas de crecer sobre el 4%, su herencia fue un pa\u00eds que aument\u00f3 al doble su deuda fiscal, cambi\u00f3 el sistema electoral aument\u00f3 la desigualdad (\u00edndice de Gini) y subi\u00f3 al 10% el porcentaje de inmigrantes del total de la poblaci\u00f3n..<\/p>\n

Hoy\u00a0la deuda de Chile por las medidas de Pi\u00f1era llegar\u00e1 el 2021 al 45% del PIB<\/strong>; cabe recordar que era del 15% hace 10 a\u00f1os.\u00a0En el 2030 ser\u00e1 el 70%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Solo los intereses de esta deuda son de\u00a03.500 millones de d\u00f3lares\u00a0anuales<\/strong>, habiendo sido menos de 500 millones hace s\u00f3lo 5 a\u00f1os. Adem\u00e1s, con el paup\u00e9rrimo 1,5% de crecimiento esperado,\u00a0no hay manera posible de pagar estos intereses sin tener que subir impuestos<\/strong>\u00a0o bajar el gasto p\u00fablico. Todo indica que ser\u00e1 lo primero.<\/p>\n

Desde octubre del 2019, el pa\u00eds ha sido degradado dos veces por los organismos de clasificaci\u00f3n de riesgo pa\u00eds<\/strong>, encareciendo los cr\u00e9ditos y anunci\u00e1ndose, para los pr\u00f3ximos a\u00f1os, fuertes restricciones de financiamiento internacional acompa\u00f1ado con una incipiente y continua fuga de capitales..<\/p>\n

Lo verdaderamente preocupante ahora son los postulados de los legisladores y los referentes m\u00e1s extremistas, principales impulsores de la reforma<\/strong>. Ideas descabelladas como la decretaci\u00f3n de\u00a0\u00abservicios de inter\u00e9s p\u00fablico<\/strong>\u00ab<\/em>\u00a0a determinados rubros de la econom\u00eda, o\u00a0confiscaci\u00f3n del exitoso modelo previsional privado de pensiones<\/strong>, son algunos interrogantes que determinar\u00e1n el futuro del pa\u00eds andino.<\/p>\n

Adem\u00e1s, algunos dirigentes radicalizados, aseguraron que servicios como la electricidad, el gas, el servicio de agua y la producci\u00f3n, deber\u00edan ser intervenidos por el Estado dado su\u00a0\u00abrol social\u00bb.<\/em><\/p>\n

Durante el periodo de redacci\u00f3n de la nueva constituci\u00f3n, (la actual est\u00e1 firmada por el social dem\u00f3crata Ricardo Lagos)<\/strong> que demorar\u00e1 2 a\u00f1os, se espera un desempe\u00f1o bajo en materia de inversi\u00f3n privada, ya que\u00a0una de las banderas de lucha durante la campa\u00f1a fue el avance frente a la propiedad privada,\u00a0y subir nuevamente los impuestos.<\/strong><\/p>\n

S\u00f3lo el 50% de la poblaci\u00f3n vot\u00f3, y nacer\u00e1 una Constituci\u00f3n que no era prioridad por la ciudadan\u00eda y pertenec\u00eda al plan maestro de gobierno del candidato presidencial de izquierda derrotado hace 3 a\u00f1os. Esta constituci\u00f3n, nacer\u00e1 desde cero por una asamblea constituyente, <\/strong>impelida a la fuerza por los movimientos extremistas que permanecen destruyendo ese pa\u00eds hace m\u00e1s de 1 a\u00f1o y que nada indica que una nueva constituci\u00f3n mitigue su violencia.<\/p>\n

Juan Valenzuela. Consultor empresarial y analista internacional<\/p>\n

Youtube : LATINMARKETS\u00a0 https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/channel\/UCiWWC4eIE2o5m2x-IxvlJfg<\/a><\/p>\n

e-mail: latinmarketsnews@gmail.com , www.latinmarkets.cl<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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